Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
Conference USA
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#134
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#106
Pace68.2#154
Improvement-3.2#304

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#117
Improvement-3.2#298

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#172
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 124   @ South Florida W 74-56 36%     1 - 0 +24.0 +9.1 +16.0
  Nov 13, 2012 333   Alabama St. W 85-56 95%     2 - 0 +11.9 +0.3 +10.3
  Nov 18, 2012 221   Savannah St. W 53-50 80%     3 - 0 -3.6 -9.0 +5.7
  Nov 20, 2012 52   Middle Tennessee L 61-75 34%     3 - 1 -7.4 -2.0 -6.5
  Nov 23, 2012 2   @ Florida L 66-79 3%     3 - 2 +10.5 +7.9 +2.1
  Dec 12, 2012 273   Bethune-Cookman W 72-62 87%     4 - 2 +0.0 -1.4 +2.0
  Dec 14, 2012 276   @ Old Dominion W 75-71 71%     5 - 2 +0.4 +8.5 -7.7
  Dec 18, 2012 12   Miami (FL) L 50-72 18%     5 - 3 -10.0 -11.5 -0.9
  Dec 20, 2012 243   Stetson W 83-66 83%     6 - 3 +9.1 +2.7 +5.8
  Dec 28, 2012 327   Howard W 62-45 94%     7 - 3 +1.6 +1.3 +3.9
  Dec 29, 2012 50   Belmont W 66-63 23%     8 - 3 +12.9 +0.4 +12.6
  Jan 02, 2013 124   South Florida L 56-65 60%     8 - 4 -9.5 -9.6 -1.0
  Jan 05, 2013 328   Florida A&M W 99-69 94%     9 - 4 +14.4 +22.2 -7.5
  Jan 09, 2013 167   UAB W 64-48 70%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +12.7 -13.0 +24.8
  Jan 12, 2013 158   @ East Carolina L 85-88 OT 44%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +0.8 +0.8 +0.3
  Jan 19, 2013 180   @ Houston W 79-75 OT 49%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +6.5 -0.1 +6.5
  Jan 23, 2013 321   Rice W 78-67 93%     12 - 5 3 - 1 -3.1 +4.9 -6.8
  Jan 26, 2013 181   SMU W 74-65 73%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +4.9 +3.2 +2.0
  Jan 30, 2013 156   @ Tulane W 58-50 44%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +11.8 -14.2 +26.2
  Feb 02, 2013 224   @ Marshall L 71-75 60%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -4.3 -4.1 -0.1
  Feb 06, 2013 59   Southern Miss W 60-58 39%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +7.0 -5.9 +13.1
  Feb 09, 2013 158   East Carolina W 83-73 68%     16 - 6 7 - 2 +7.3 +3.9 +3.3
  Feb 13, 2013 33   @ Memphis L 71-93 12%     16 - 7 7 - 3 -7.1 +2.6 -8.3
  Feb 16, 2013 110   @ UTEP L 58-73 32%     16 - 8 7 - 4 -7.8 -4.7 -4.4
  Feb 20, 2013 224   Marshall L 70-82 80%     16 - 9 7 - 5 -18.8 -11.6 -6.4
  Feb 23, 2013 175   Tulsa W 83-75 72%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +4.2 +6.6 -2.7
  Mar 02, 2013 33   Memphis L 67-76 28%     17 - 10 8 - 6 -0.6 -4.9 +5.0
  Mar 06, 2013 167   @ UAB W 74-70 46%     18 - 10 9 - 6 +7.2 +4.1 +3.2
  Mar 09, 2013 59   @ Southern Miss L 62-70 19%     18 - 11 9 - 7 +3.5 -4.0 +7.1
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%